Popular Posts

Thursday 15 May 2014

The Results Of Elections Of 2014: An Inside Analysis

The 16th of May 2014 is a historical day in the history of electoral politics because a new Sun of Indian politics, Narender Modi ,is rising and the old age sun of Gandhi family is sinking. As indicated in most of elections exit polls conducted by the news channels that BJP led NDA is going to form its government after ten years with thumping majority of 335seats and the Congress Party is facing the worst performance in its history with 46 seats.Congratulations to the party which pIanned the elections so meticulously that there was  no scope for  manipulatio or maneuver other political parties, be that national or regional, to do any thing. The election results are great set back to all the politincal analysts and strategists of different political parties who were convincing their parties bosses that BJP will not be in a position to form the government at  the center.

It seems that all political parties have only one thing to do that is to criticized,cotradict and control Modi. But while doing so they failed to project themselves as a potential alternative  for BJP.Not only this, but people of India have also decided to vote for a party that will form a strong  and stable government in the center and they have also rejected castist parties.Poll debacle of SP&and BSP in UP and JDU and RJD in Bihar are the examples of what the youth voters of India feels for these political parties.The two parties that are able to escape this onslaught are AIDMK in Tamilnadu and Mamata Banerjee in West Bengal.The main reasons are some local factors like booth management by workers of these parties and poor presence of BJP cadre in these states.But more important is the fact that for the first time ,BJP was able to establish itself in these states and going to win some seats.

If we look at the performance of the Congress Party in this elections, it can easily be concluded that its leaders have not only lost faith in the party central leadership but as the Congress leaders they have nothing to boast but every thing to defend.Poor planning and wrong distribution of tickets to candidates led to great debacle of the party.Most of its leaders were busy in coining terms like Hitler,Bucher Communal and what not for Modi.Perhaps the youth of the modern India have rejected this attitude of Congress Party.After that neglect of PM Manmohan Singh during the electioneering has given a very bad signal to the people of India as they felt that one of the most learned leader of modern days politicians was merely used to fulfill greed of a family.It also proved that theory of dual power center is correct .

As regards to the political parties of UP ,the days of caste politics is nearly over and people of UP are fade up with corruption and lawlessness. The people realized that the worst damage to the backward people was done by SP and BSP. These parties have used Muslims ,backwards and low caste people for their political gains . More over people have also realized that the boggy of communalism and being the protector and champion of backwards have been blasted by Modi.As a result these people have also voted for the BJP and  current trends show that BJP may win more than sixty seats in UP.

As reported earlier that decision of JDU in Bihar to part its way from NDA has proved the worst political act of a political party in recent years. Now this party may be limited to a few seats(3or4) and it  indicates that JDU has lost its social engineering.Massive victory of BJP in Bihar clearly indicates that in the coming assembly elections JDU will be a finished story .

The second worse performer will be AAP as mostly people has rejected this party.The way AAP has mismanaged its mandate in Delhi and it is going to loose all its gains .Surprisingly AAP is doing well in Punjab.Perhaps either AAP has over estimated its capability in Delhi or taken Delhi voters for granted.Over emphasis on Banaras seat and decision of Kejriwal to fight election from UP has weaken its prospects in the elections. Now question is what will AAP do?Many of its candidates faced severe shortage of fund and manpower as a result they failed to reach the mass.Perhaps it was ego of Kejriwal and his over ambition that led to this debacle of AAP in the general elections.

Now what BJP and his PM candidate has planned the whole election process in such a meticulous way that it gave thumping victory .The BJP has" ARM" factor ie Amit Shah Rajnath Singh and Modi which worked in perfect tune.Amit Shah arrival on UP political scenario was a signal that how important Modi gives to this state.Not only it has the highest number of parliamentary sests but it is the state which paves the way to becoming the  PM  India .Rajnath Singh being the old gaurd of this state ,knew that what is required when and where.As a result each seat in every constituency was examined at booth level from caste and religious angle and then responsibility was assigned to a group of workers under able guidance of a veteran leader for not only to educate voters about vision of Modi but also encouraged them to vote for the party.As a result we can see remarkable increase in the vote percentage of BJP.

Further more BJP and its charismatic leader Narender Modi were able to break many old myths,like Muslims antagonist to BJP,BJP as urban party and no support base in the backwards.In this elections BJP was able to achieve around 10% vote of the Muslims population. This clearly shows increasing acceptability of BJP and especially Mr.Modi among new generation of Muslims.The BJP made inroads in Dalit votes is an example of its increasing popularity.Therefore social engineering of Mayawati was broken and MYS(Muslim,Yadav and Savarna) theory of Mulayam Singh Yadav was shattered.BJP went for total killing of deterimentalist politics and became hope for every caste ,religion and group.

Another casualty of the election is AAP.All its gains of Delhi elections are lost as this party was wiped of Delhi. The only consalatio is four seats in Punjab.The gains of AAP is attributed to anti incumbancy and misrule of Akali Dal led government.The charged of corruption against Akali ministers and arrogance of party leaders have actually disillutioned the people and finding AAP as a good non Punjabi alternative ,they voted in the favour of AAP.

No comments:

Post a Comment