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Wednesday 11 February 2015

AAP Victory: A New Wave In The Indian Politics

The year 2015 will be known for two major things ;the visit of US President Obama on the occasion of Republic Day as the chief guest and for the first time defying all precautions the US President remained under open sky for more than two hours and for the first time a political party AAP has won 67seats  in the Delhi election .Both the things are historical in their own ways. Firstly when Obama visited Delhi , despite being a historical visit , it failed to create both political and economic euphoria.The political observers and readers may get bemused why I am mentioning Obama visit when the whole world is talking about Kejriwal victory. It has a tremendous relationship with recent election outcome. While BJP remained under an illusion that Modi international visits and management of international relationship with the powerful nations will create an euphoria that will ensure victory in the domestic affairs but that was not the reality as Indian voters are much more matured than what political parties think about them. 

Now AAP victory in Delhi is historical and politically surprising as no one expected such absolute majority for Kejriwal. After Kejriwal 49days experimental governence and Lok Sabha  election in the last May 2014, every one thought that AAP story was over and his decision to fight this election was not only suicidal but politically immature but AAP didn't apply panic button rather it reorganised its cadres and infused them with new vigor and energy. When BJP was still in a slumber of recent election victories in the states like Haryana,Maharashtra, Jharkhand and Jammu and Kashmir, the AAP was contacting people in different parts of Delhi and was explaining its agenda.When other parties were struggling with their infighting and political conspiracy then AAP was busy with using social media for influencing the people to believe its ideology and programs.

AAP has not only challenged traditional political management technology and practices but has provided a faith to the common man that politics belongs to them and they can play tremendous role in shaping the future of the nation. Look at who are its volunteers , all new entrants of Indian politics the youth who are fade up with the rotten system and who feel that Kejriwal provides an opportunity to change the oudated system. There are many things that have to look into the outcome of this thumping victory. 
Firstly there was a massive shift in the anti BJP votes towards AAP as people decided that voting to other parties like Congress will be a wastage because this party has no future in the election. And AAP leaders were able to convince the people that they are the only alternative available before the people. The way the Congress party started its campaign was even more disastrous as its leaders were not fighting election but against each other. Removal of Arvindal Singh Lovely as the CM candidate and projecting Ajay Maken was a tactical mistake because it was Lovely not Maken who stolen lime light through the protests and political management in Delhi during the 49days Kejriwal rule and after that. 

Secondly all opposition parties especially the Left parties that have solid cadres in Delhi United behind AAP and supprted whole heartedly. According to the intelligence reports even naxal supporters favoured AAP as they see an opportunity in Kejriwal as anti system personality some favor for their ideology.This right -left combination became so deadly that neither the BJP nor the Congress was able to face this AAP Tsunami. Both these parties will have to look into this defeat from non traditional spectacle. 

Thirdly the neglect of Purvanchali voters by the BJP was a big blunder. With 40lacs population no political party should dare to overlook them in any election. Some of the spoke person like Prabhat Jha should be very much cautious while saying what he did at BJP head quarter .These voters not only rejected BJP but at the same time supported AAP.This can be seen in the terms of victory margin and the numbers of seats own by AAP. 

And the projection of Kiran Bedi as CM candidate by the BJP was the most crucial factors for the defeat of BJP in Delhi. This single move by the BJP not only disunited the party but also discouraged party workers.The way Kiran Bedi behaved during electioneering was even more shocking. BJP is a cadre based party and it is not possible to topple its old guards as it msy happen in other parties. It is beyond the understanding of commonman to think that BJP will make such a novice move to counter Kejriwal.If it a move of Amit Shah then it is a laughable and if it was unanimousely decided by the central leadership then it is even more surprising.Kiran Bedi behaved like an alien in the party and did more damage than what even severest critics of this move might  have even thought about.

Finally for the last seven months Modi government is talking more and doing less.The people are disillusioned as none of the promises made during the election time are being fulfilled. The Government stand on the Black Money is not only shocking but disastrous. The voter of today wants delivery and no talks.Further the policy of polarising voters on the religious line was a big mistake as youth of today is not ready to take this rubbish ideas.They voted BJP on the agenda of development and now they want the results. Lessons to be learned from this election by all the parties including AAP that unless you perform you are bound to perish.